Forecasts — Channel phase — Open Channel Stats

through Jun 26, 2026

The channel is in a quiet patch right now. The underlying signals are not pointing toward a clear next stretch at recent pace.

14signals moving together — reading as quiet patch, no clear shift yet

The signals moving together, and how settled the read is, are below.

Channel phase — the full breakdown

Today

The channel's joint trajectory

Where several signals are moving together — read as one direction, hedged as arithmetic on the recent window, not a prediction.

Today the channel sits in a Quiet patch — no clear trajectory toward a new state in the next month.

Moving together

Features moving in a coordinated direction

Every feature whose recent per-day rate sits clear of zero — sorted by absolute rate. Each row shows today's value and the range over the recent window.

Feature	Per-day rate	Current	Range
Number of videos receiving any views last week	+0.752/day	35.000	0.622 – 0.956
Videos published in the last two weeks	+0.369/day	6.000	0.303 – 0.452
Suggested Videos' share of last four weeks' views	+0.031/day	0.839	0.028 – 0.034
Top video's share of last week's impressions	-0.029/day	0.392	-0.039 – -0.020
Top country's share of last week's views	-0.017/day	0.180	-0.019 – -0.014
View trend over last week	-0.016/day	-0.305	-0.024 – -0.007
Top video's share of last week's impressions	-0.015/day	0.011	-0.027 – -0.003
How spread out traffic sources are	-0.015/day	0.253	-0.020 – -0.010
Largest source's share of last week's views	+0.012/day	0.860	0.007 – 0.016
Suggested Videos' share of last week's views	+0.012/day	0.860	0.007 – 0.017
View trend over last four weeks	+0.007/day	0.042	0.006 – 0.009
YouTube Search's share of last week's views	-0.006/day	0.060	-0.011 – -0.001
External traffic's share of last week's views	+0.001/day	0.020	0.001 – 0.002
External traffic's share of last four weeks' views	≈ 0/day	0.014	0.000 – 0.001

History

Recent state changes

The channel's recent state history over the trailing window. Each row is the day a new surface state was assigned + the reason text recorded at that build.

Apr 9 – Apr 14 (6 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Apr 15 – Apr 18 (4 days): Quiet patch
Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.
Apr 19 – Apr 26 (8 days): Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.
Apr 27: Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Apr 28: Still early
No single pattern stood out today — the channel is in a steady or still-early stretch.
Apr 29 – May 4 (6 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
May 5: Still early
No single pattern stood out today — the channel is in a steady or still-early stretch.
May 6: One-video carry
One video is being shown to more than half the audience this week — most of the catalog's reach is anchored to that one title.
May 7: Quiet patch
Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.
May 8: Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
May 9: Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
May 10: Still early
No single pattern stood out today — the channel is in a steady or still-early stretch.
May 11 – May 12 (2 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
May 13 – May 15 (3 days): Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
May 16: Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.
May 17: Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
May 18 – May 24 (7 days): Still early
No single pattern stood out today — the channel is in a steady or still-early stretch.
May 25 – May 29 (5 days): One-video carry
One video is being shown to more than half the audience this week — most of the catalog's reach is anchored to that one title.
May 30: Quiet patch
Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.
May 31 – Jun 1 (2 days): One-video carry
One video is being shown to more than half the audience this week — most of the catalog's reach is anchored to that one title.
Jun 2: Still early
No single pattern stood out today — the channel is in a steady or still-early stretch.
Jun 3: Suggested pickup
Suggested Videos is carrying most of the recent views without having been the lead source over the longer stretch — usually a short pickup.
Jun 4 – Jun 6 (3 days): Quiet patch
Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.
Jun 7 – Jun 13 (7 days): Suggested pickup
Suggested Videos is carrying most of the recent views without having been the lead source over the longer stretch — usually a short pickup.
Jun 14 – Jun 25 (12 days): Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.
Jun 26: Quiet patch
Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.