@itsartharrisonpublic

Forecasts Growth

LensGrowth

How the channel's subscriber and view trajectory has been moving, what its arithmetic projects forward, and how past forecasts have resolved.

No single next milestone reads cleanly from recent pace — here are the five things this channel can read about where it's heading.

5forecast lenseseach one plain arithmetic on this channel's recent data

239 past forecasts on this channel have resolved so far — the full record of those guesses against what actually happened sits below.

Growth — the full breakdown

At current pace

Next thresholds the arithmetic projects

One row per active threshold. Assumes recent cadence holds — arithmetic on the past few weeks, not a prediction.

  • not drawn

    Next lifetime views milestone (5,000) is too thin to project usefully — recent days have been too uneven for a single date.

    Rate over past 7 days: 7.14 lifetime views/day.

  • not drawn

    Next subscribers milestone (25) is too thin to project usefully — recent days have been too uneven for a single date.

    Rate over past 7 days: 0.00 subscribers/day.

  • not drawn

    Next published videos milestone (50) is too thin to project usefully — recent days have been too uneven for a single date.

    Rate over past 7 days: 0.29 published videos/day.

By horizon

Projected ranges, 7 to 90 days out

One row per forecast type, one column per horizon. Each cell shows the projected low–high band at current pace.

Forecast type+7d+14d+30d+90d
subscribersrange, no datetracks toward 28 – 35at the past-28-day pacedated range34 – 39at the past-28-day pacedated range47 – 55at the past-28-day pacedated range98 – 116at the past-28-day pace
daily viewsrange, no datetracks toward 7.0 – 10at the past-28-day pacerange, no datetracks toward 7.5 – 12at the past-28-day pacerange, no datetracks toward 9.0 – 17at the past-28-day pacerange, no datetracks toward 11 – 32at the past-28-day pace

The honest receipt

How the past forecasts have held up

Each bar is one horizon's coverage over the trailing 90 days — the share of past forecasts whose actual landed inside the stated range. The hairline marks the 80% the band's shape claims. The wins and the misses both, kept in plain view.

42 past forecasts have been checked against the stated range so far, across all horizons.

  • +7 days

    0 of 22 landed inside · median error 75.9% over the trailing 30 days

  • +14 days

    0 of 12 landed inside · median error 69.9% over the trailing 30 days

  • +30 days

    0 of 8 landed inside · median error 91.3% over the trailing 30 days

  • +90 days

    Record begins this week — fewer than 5 past forecasts checked against the stated range at this horizon so far.