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The belief ledger

“High retention drives video success more than high click-through-rate.”

agrees

the belief matches this channel's data

Held 16 days · Last changed Oct 7, 2026 · 2 changes

agrees on 3 of 5 pooled public channels · inconclusive on 1

What the check does

Same regression as #7; agrees if |β_retention| > 1.5 × |β_ctr|. Note: can be `inconclusive` simultaneously with #7 if neither dominates.

The reading

1.99×

Checked on 42 videos ·

How the verdict has moved

  1. Oct 7, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026agrees
  2. Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026disagrees
  3. Sep 27, 2026 – Sep 30, 2026disagrees
  4. Sep 11, 2026 – Sep 26, 2026inconclusive

Where the belief comes from

Sean Cannell / Think Media school; opposite of #7.

Checked against

Every figure on this page is checked against @theartharrison’s tracked data, through Oct 22, 2026. The tally above reads 5 pooled public channels’ files.

Keep reading

The rest of the record

This belief sits in a ledger of fifty, each one re-checked every day. These surfaces carry the rest of it.

Back to the belief ledger

Every belief on record, what changed in the last 90 days, and the verdict words explained.

How the record is made

The path a number takes from YouTube to this page, every condition attached to it, and what the projections have been worth.

Benchmarks

What channels in the shared pool actually run at, and how a video's views build day by day.