beta

“A new publish steals impression budget from the rest of the catalog.”

disagrees

the data runs the other way here

Held 34 days · Last changed Sep 19, 2026 · 1 change

disagrees on 2 of 5 pooled public channels · inconclusive on 2

What the check does

When video N publishes, change in non-N videos' impression share over the next 3 days. Agrees if median impression-share-of-others drops ≥15% in the post-publish window.

The reading

0.92

Checked on 39 videos ·

How the verdict has moved

  1. Oct 16, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026disagrees
  2. Oct 15, 2026disagrees
  3. Oct 10, 2026 – Oct 14, 2026disagrees
  4. Sep 19, 2026 – Oct 9, 2026disagrees
  5. Sep 11, 2026 – Sep 18, 2026inconclusive

Where the belief comes from

Catalog-cannibalization folklore.

Checked against

Every figure on this page is checked against @theartharrison’s tracked data, through Oct 22, 2026. The tally above reads 5 pooled public channels’ files.

Keep reading

The rest of the record

This belief sits in a ledger of fifty, each one re-checked every day. These surfaces carry the rest of it.