“First video's day-30 performance correlates with month-3 channel trajectory.”
agrees
the belief matches this channel's data
Held 42 days · Never changed on recordagrees on 4 of 5 pooled public channels
What the check does
Across the shared pool. For each channel: the views its FIRST video had banked by day 30, against that channel's own total views over its first 90 days. Pearson correlation across channels; agrees at r >= 0.5, disagrees at r <= -0.5. Both windows must lie wholly inside a channel's shared coverage — a channel that shared only part of either window sits the round out rather than contributing an understated total.
The reading
0.88
Checked on 3 channels ·
How the verdict has moved
First checked Sep 11, 2026; the verdict has not moved since.
Where the belief comes from
TenfoldGrowth-style coaching.
Checked against
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The rest of the record
This belief sits in a ledger of fifty, each one re-checked every day. These surfaces carry the rest of it.