Forecasts — Channel phase — Open Channel Stats

Several recent uploads are competing for attention at the same time. On recent pace, the discovery shape currently tracks toward a different stretch: a recent upload is new and still lightly sampled.

6signals moving together — reading as crowded stretch, tracking toward a new stretch

The signals moving together, the stretch the joint trajectory tracks toward, and how settled that read is, are below.

Channel phase — the full breakdown

Today

The channel's joint trajectory

Where several signals are moving together — read as one direction, hedged as arithmetic on the recent window, not a prediction.

Today the channel sits in a Crowded stretch; the joint trajectory tracks toward Fresh upload in roughly 18 days, ±10.

Assumes recent direction holds — arithmetic on the past 21 days, not a prediction.

Moving together

Features moving in a coordinated direction

Every feature whose recent per-day rate sits clear of zero — sorted by absolute rate. Each row shows today's value and the range over the recent window.

Feature	Per-day rate	Current	Range
Daily impressions	+23.23/day	526.000	16.667 – 29.962
Number of videos receiving any views last week	+0.519/day	17.000	0.503 – 0.538
Videos published in the last two weeks	-0.091/day	7.000	-0.141 – -0.048
Recent uploads' share of last week's impressions	-0.013/day	0.843	-0.019 – -0.008
Top video's share of last week's impressions	-0.013/day	0.353	-0.019 – -0.007
How much recent uploads are driving impressions	-0.007/day	1.103	-0.016 – -0.002

History

Recent state changes

The channel's recent state history over the trailing window. Each row is the day a new surface state was assigned + the reason text recorded at that build.

Jun 1 – Jun 6 (6 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jun 7: Still early
No single pattern stood out today — the channel is in a steady or still-early stretch.
Jun 8: Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jun 9 – Jun 17 (9 days): Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.
Jun 18: Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
Jun 19 – Jun 26 (8 days): Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.